From temperature to tons
Temperature: the model gives an average of 1,753 °F inside the furnace with all tunnels, 1,681 °F without the outer one, and 1,537 °F in the area where that tunnel would stand.
Hydrogen: reformer output depends on temperature. Treating the flue gas temperature as the process gas temperature, the paper estimates up to 9.7% less hydrogen in the area next to the missing tunnel and 0.95% less across the whole furnace.
Production: for a plant making 2,000 t/d of ammonia, where the primary reformer limits output, that means about 19 t/d less, or 6,916 t over a year of running before the rebuild.
Money: at a bulk price of 300 USD/t, the paper puts the theoretical annual impact at 2,074,800 USD.